
Wayne Rooney in his preferred attire for GW 38 against Hull
Well, it's all over. At the top of the table at least. Despite Liverpool's valiant efforts, Manchester United have done it again. Kudos to them, I guess.
But for fantasy footie managers (and EPL teams at the bottom of the table), the season is still very much alive. So we have some work to do. Let's take a look at the second to last week of the season and preview (I) the best match from a neutral's point of view (II) the most fantasy friendly match (III) an analysis of stud and dud performers and (IV) a prediction of the week's best eleven.
I. Arsenal @ Manchester United: Arsenal will look for some revenge after losing in the Champions League semifinal - and correct me if I'm wrong - but I think United have never faced Arshavin. So there's a bit of motivation there and a bit of extra class that could at least delay United's celebrations until the final game of the season.
But, the way the ball has bounced United's way this season (see Macheda's late heroics against Aston Villa as one example), I just can't imagine that Sir Alex's troops won't be able to muster at least a point to win the title at Old Trafford.
Arsenal will be without Gallas, Clichy, and Almunia - so United should be able to score. A few.
Let's look at the fantasy implications. Ronaldo (selfishly) is still gunning for the golden boot - and thus will look to cause some damage. Rooney should play - but with Tevez and Berbatov featuring prominently against Wigan in central areas - and
Rooney playing in wide positions the last few games - his production could be limited. Couple that with the fact that Rooney will almost certainly be benched against Hull in the final week of the season and I strongly urge
against acquiring the hot-headed super stud. In fact, I would drop him. United play Hull on Sunday May 24th and then play Barcelona in Rome three days later, on May 27th. Rooney will not feature against Hull.
Most (competitive) fantasy managers feature 2 or 3 United players - but that number should be reduced as they wrap up the title this weekend and fantasy footie managers look to gameweek 38. I can see Arsenal scoring a consolation goal - so getting rid of one of Evra or Rooney this week (two very popular selections) could go a long way to ensuring a strong team is put out in week 38 without taking too many transfer point deductions. Just my two cents.
Prediction: 2 - 1 Manchester United
II. Blackburn @ Chelsea: Blackburn are safe and Chelsea want to end the season on a high note as they look to pick up silverware in the FA Cup final against Everton. And just as I mention getting rid of Wayne Rooney up above - I must mention the obvious replacement, the in-form Nicolas Anelka...
Anelka is cheaper than Rooney and is still gunning for the golden boot. He trails Ronaldo by one goal. Anelka has Blackburn and Sunderland in his final two fixtures. Not too difficult. He's been known as a "mercenary" in his career- devoid of passion, a hired gun, whatever. He's featured for PSG, Real Madrid, Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City, Fenerbahce, Bolton, and Chelsea. That's quite an impressive list. He's never won a golden boot, and
at 30 years old this is probably his last chance. Say what you will about his lack of emotion but he can score goals. And I expect him to have plenty of opportunities this weekend as Sam Allardyce parks the Blackburn team bus and plays some very defensive, long-ball football.
There are opportunities elsewhere for investment in Chelsea.
Blackburn have gone 497 minutes without a goal against Chelsea in the league, so Cech, Alex, and Ashley Cole look great alternatives for Evra owners looking to make a late move. (Continuing with the United to Chelsea fantasy allocation theme this week).
In the midfield, Lampard and Malouda are your men. I expect Chelsea to win comfortably.
Prediction: Chelsea 3 - 0
III. Studs and Duds: I mentioned investment in Chelsea and cautious divestiture of United's toxic assets, but let's move on and take a look at the bottom of the table - where teams still have something to fight for, but first let's look at our good buddies at Wigan who almost extended our EPL season one more week...
Big kudos to
cheap stud Hugo Rodallega - who picked up 2 goals in 2 matches last week. Fellow blogger Stepovers Anonymous brought him in last week - a great pick. Amazingly, Hugo had never scored in 11 Premier League games before this week. Not one goal. Not one assist. Not one bonus point.
But this week the Colombian picked up 2 goals and 2 bonus points to earn stud status. He was helped by the fact that Mido was not in the lineup and his first goal took a wicked deflection and was quite a fluke. He did outmuscle Vidic though for his second goal, and deserved it. Nevertheless, I don't think he's a stud this week. Stoke are good at home, Mido should be back in the lineup, and Wigan - as I mentioned last week - don't have much to play for. Managers who went "all in" and brought in Wigan players last week shouldn't expect much, and Wigan players straddle the stud/dud fence for me. Rodallega could be a good pick-up next season though as long as he starts the year priced under 6.5M and is a guaranteed starter.
Ok, here are some bottom of the table studs and duds: Portsmouth's Belhadj is 4.0M and has Sunderland and Wigan in his last two. Not bad. A stud, then, if he continues to feature in the midfield from his "Defender" classification. Newcastle have Martins (stud) at home in another must win game, while their opponents Fulham have some cheap stud options in Nevland (4.7M) and Kamara (5.5M) and are fighting for a European place.
WBA face Liverpool so last week's studs Brunt and Fortune turn to duds this week.
Other names that could surprise as studs after a few weeks of laying low are Keane and Defoe for Tottenham (at home and still pushing for Europe) and Everton's Cahill and Jo - neither have scored in over a month, but both have too much quality not to be involved somehow at home to West Ham.
IV. EPL Gameweek 37 Best Eleven:
Cech
Arbeloa - Shawcross - Baines
Ronaldo - Lampard - Gerrard - A. Young - Lawrence
Anelka - Defoe