
"But despite being down to ten players, (insert club name here) was able to get through the
gameweek with relative success." That's the match report fantasy soccer aficionados are hoping will describe their fortunes this coming weekend.
With Manchester United (Ronaldo, Van der Sar, Ferdinand, Vidic, and Berbatov) and Wigan (Kirkland, Figueroa, Valencia, and Zaki) featuring no less than nine of the game's most popular selections and both missing in action this weekend, managers must turn to their reserves to stay competitive. That's soccer for you. Big squads are a must. Tactical changes, injuries, and poor performance are the three major reasons for making a substitution in the beautiful game, and in our fantasy world - we add one more reason: an idle gameweek.
So, let's look at the Premier League this weekend. (I) The best match (II) The best fantasy matchup (III) "Stud" and "Dud" performers and (IV) A predicted weekly best eleven. This week's preview is long, but work is slow, and we take pride in being the first site to hit the fantasy footie blogosphere with our original predictions:
I. Liverpool @ Arsenal: A great match for the neutral fan. Arsenal sit in 5
th place, 8 points behind league leaders Liverpool after a disappointing 1-1 draw with
Middlesbrough last Saturday. Liverpool also enter the match on the heels of a disappointing draw with Premier League surprise outfit Hull, but are still enjoying their
greatest domestic success since Rafa Benitez joined from Valencia in 2004. Will two wrongs make a right?
From a neutral's perspective, let's hope so. The two teams last met in a Champions League Quarterfinal fixture in April, and Liverpool won a thriller 4-2. But don't expect 6 goals in this one.
Benitez will look to frustrate Arsenal's pass-happy attack by keeping it tight at the back, and will hope for some continued production from the likes of Gerrard and
blog favorites Benayoun and Kuyt.
Arsenal, as always - will depend on Fabregas' vision and game control and that extra bit of size/speed from Adebayor or that extra bit of quality from Robin van Persie. Fantasy studs Adebayor and RvP have combined for 50% of Arsenal's goals this season (14-of-29) so if the Gunners do manage to break down the Reds - you can count on one of those two lanky finishers up front to do the business.
The 30% owned Jamie Carragher (7.2M) (have you guys heard of Bosingwa?!?!) will look to bounce back from a terrible performance at Hull. I think he will, but it won't be enough for an away clean sheet.
Prediction: 1 - 1 Draw.
II. Manchester City @ WBA: There are a few other fantasy friendly fixtures on the docket for this weekend (Everton are winless against Chelsea since 2000 and have been outscored 37-12 in the past 20 meetings) but Mark Hughes' out of form Man City travel to out of form WBA in a must-win situation.
WBA have scored the fewest goals in the Premier League. Manchester City have scored the second highest. Let's just play the trends here and also add the fact that WBA's most dangerous offensive weapon, Ishmael Miller - is out for the season with a knee injury. All signs in my opinion point to a comfortable win for the Citizens.
Prediction: 3 - 1 Manchester City
III. Surprise Studs: Last week we hit the nail on the head encouraging investment in
Sunderland players, and this week we'll take another surprise stab and go with Blackburn. Yes, the same Blackburn team that conceded 3 goals to
Wigan last weekend.
Blackburn could switch to a more direct style under new manager Allardyce, focusing on a strong defense and long balls to
Roque Santa Cruz. The Rovers are sitting in 19
th place, but remember, this team does have quality:
RSC scored 19 goals last season. Benny McCarthy scored 18 goals the year before. And long-lost fantasy favorite Morten Gamst Pederson scored 6 goals and added 12 assists two seasons ago. That's quality. On the defensive end, Ryan Nelsen (4.9M) could be a decent option this weekend against Stoke. If Danny Simpson (4.3M) can find his way into the starting lineup under Allardyce, he could be a bargain alternative as well - but that's looking very long term and depends on a big "if." Exciting times at Blackburn. Maybe a stud or two will shine.
Studs: If there was a statistic measuring "most points kept on the bench" Fulham's defensive studs Mark Schwarzer (36% owned) and
cheater John Paintsil (10% owned) would surely top the leaderboard. And while I am excited to mention the bargain duo as obvious studs for the week with 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches, I need to put them on the stud-dud fence. Boro are better than you think, and Fulham can't keep clean sheets forever. I see a ton of disappointed fantasy managers moving Paintsil and Schwarzer to the starting lineup and receiving a meager 4 point return after a 2-1 Fulham loss/win. To hedge your bets, go with stud Stewart Downing (6.9M) to provide some differentiation points.
Duds: Lescott (10%) and Arteta (21%) are widely owned but take on Chelsea this weekend. Looking ahead, Everton take on Liverpool, Arsenal, and Manchester United in gameweeks 22- 23 - 24. Not easy, especially when you are
playing without a striker as explosive as the friendly Yak attack. Blog favorite Sebastien Bassong (4.oM) is cheap but could be in for a tough fixture with Tottenham's impressive away form under Redknapp coming to town. Tough to back Newcastle for a clean sheet in that one, but I guess we have to stick to Bassong since we did bring him to you guys first a few weeks back.. No flip-flopping here, but he looks "dudly," not studly this particular weekend. (Keep him as a cheap bench option!)
IV. A gameweek 18 best eleven for you to debate:
GK: Hart
D: Laursen - Bosingwa - R. Nelsen
M: Downing - Lampard - A. Young - Bullard - Gerrard
F: Santa Cruz - Crouch
V. Late Friday Injury Updates: Santa Cruz picked up a calf injury in training today, and is a major doubt. Robinho is a major doubt. Delap is a major doubt. Armand Traore is a major doubt. If I were to take a guess, I'd think Delap will play for Stoke but I'm less optimistic about the other three... good luck to all teams this weekend!